The finish line is swimming into sight. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are hunting their fourth straight NFC South title, and there are only three weeks left to decide if they capture it or are thwarted by the Atlanta Falcons. (The New Orleans Saints have technically not been eliminated from that race would need a miraculous combination of events to come out on top.) Every game is critical, and that's not hyperbole. Even one loss for the Buccaneers could result in their playoff destiny being taken out of their own hands.
That said, the Bucs took care of business in Week 15 with a dominant road win over the Chargers and have now won four in a row. They are doing what they need to do, and even after Atlanta's Monday night win in Las Vegas they do still control their own destiny. Win out, and the Bucs are division champions, no matter what else happens around the league. With that would likely come either the third or fourth seed in the NFC playoff field and a home game to start the postseason.
That's not to say the Buccaneers would mind some help from other teams around the league. There are a handful of games in the Week 16 slate that are meaningful to the Bucs' quest, and we'll be keeping our eyes on all of them. Contests in Atlanta, Washington, Seattle and Green Bay are of particular interest.
Below are my suggestions for which teams besides the Buccaneers to root for from Thursday night through the Monday game at Lambeau Field, with the games presented in chronological order. This is your 2024 Week 16 Viewing Guide.
Denver Broncos (9-5) at Los Angeles Chargers (8-6), Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET
This is a good game. It's not terribly meaningful to the Buccaneers, but it's a fun way to start the week. If you need a rooting suggestion, the Bucs win over the Chargers and their loss over Denver mean you should lean towards L.A. if only to give Tampa Bay's strength of victory (SOV) tiebreaker number a little boost. Playoff tiebreakers rarely go that far down the list, but I guess you never know. It certainly won't come into play in the NFC South race, as the first tiebreaker will be the only one that matters. Denver and Los Angeles are the six and seven seeds in the AFC right now and the Chargers have a two-game cushion on the other Wild Card contenders. It's likely that the AFC field is already set, but a win by the Chargers would make things more interesting over the last two weeks.
Verdict: Go San Diego…I mean Los Angeles! (I'll be making that mistake for another 10 years.)
Houston Texans (9-8) at Kansas City Chiefs (13-1), Saturday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4) at Baltimore Ravens (9-5), Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET
There are two games on Saturday this week, which is great for us NFL junkies unless we've procrastinated on our Christmas shopping and have to hit the malls that day. The good news for Bucs fans is that if you have to miss either or both of these contests you won't have to worry about the playoff implications. The Bucs played the Chiefs and Ravens so wins by those teams would help Tampa Bay's strength of schedule (SOS) figure, so you can go that way if you wish. Or maybe you're like me and you like to root for the underdogs when you have nothing personally at stake. (And, yes, the Steelers are underdogs despite the better record…6.5-point underdogs, in fact!)
Verdict: Go underdogs!
New York Giants (2-12) at Atlanta Falcons (7-7), Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Tommy DeVito is dealing with a concussion and Drew Lock has heel and left elbow issues, so I'm not even sure who we're going to be rooting for on Sunday in this one. Tim Boyle? Sure, Tim Boyle! Love me some Tim Boyle. Whoever is throwing passes for the Giants, let's cross our fingers that they have one of their finest NFL outings on Sunday in Mercedes-Benz Stadium, and that new Atlanta starter Michael Penix does not. A Falcons loss allows us to avoid the itchy experience of potentially falling out of the NFC South lead in Week 16. If the Bucs can win Dallas later that night and the Falcons fell to the Giants, Tampa Bay would need only one win over its final two games to wrap up the NFC South.
Verdict: Go Tim Boyle! Or Tommy DeVito! Or Drew Lock! Just not Michael Penix.
Arizona Cardinals (7-7) at Carolina Panthers (3-11), Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
We kind of wanted Dave Canales to get a holiday gift last week against Dallas but it didn't happen. Let's root for that again. The Bucs would prefer not to end up in the crowded Wild Card mess, but if they do they would prefer as few other competitors as possible. The Athletic only gives the Cardinals an 11% chance to make the playoffs, and almost all of that is from potentially winning the division. Still, let's deal them another setback. And when you think about it, if you are rooting against a division rival like the Panthers with a long-term view, wins for them are good right now. There are so many teams between two and four wins (nine of them!!!) that any win by any of them could drop them significantly in next year's draft order.
Verdict: Go Cards!
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Detroit Lions (12-2) at Chicago Bears (4-10), Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Bears have been eliminated from playoff contention, so it doesn't really matter if they get a win, while the Lions are (significantly) ahead of Tampa Bay in the overall NFC standings. That would seem to point to rooting for the Bears, and there's some merit in that. But the Bucs can't catch Detroit in any potential Wild Card standings, and if the Lions do stumble, they might end up coming to Tampa in the opening round. Do we want that? Maybe so with all of their injuries, but that string of bad luck is also what makes me want to root for them a little bit more. Logic says the Bears. My heart says the Lions. You can do what you wish.
Verdict: Go heart!
Cleveland Browns (3-11) at Cincinnati Bengals (6-8), Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
Houston Texans (3-11) at Indianapolis Colts (6-8), Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
A pair of all-AFC early-afternoon games that can't compete for our eyeballs with the game in Atlanta as we all warm up for the Bucs' night game in Dallas. Tampa Bay didn't and won't play any of these teams this season, so there aren't any SOV or SOS implications. If you care about these two, that probably means you've advanced to the semifinals in your fantasy football league.
Verdict: Go your fantasy team!
Los Angeles Rams (8-6) at New York Jets (4-10), Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
With the Rams winning and the Seahawks losing last weekend, Los Angeles has taken over first place in the NFC West, but, more significantly for the Bucs, the West leader has fallen to fourth in the overall seeding, with the Bucs jumping them into third. That's based on Tampa Bay's superior record in games against NFC opponents over both the Rams and the Seahawks. So, basically, we don't really care who wins that division but we'll take our opportunities for all the teams with a shot at the title getting a loss. And this is the perfect scenario because the Rams are playing an NFC team. Hopefully, the Jets' key players can improve their Madden ratings in this one and take home the win.
Verdict: Go A-A-RON!
Philadelphia Eagles (12-2) at Washington Commanders (9-5), Sunday, 1:00 p.m. ET
This is where we take a moment to think about the Wild Card situation, which is not how we want to get to the playoffs but could be an option if the division title eludes the Bucs. The Commanders currently hold the last of the three Wild Card spots and The Athletic gives them an 81% chance of holding onto it. However, it's worth noting that the Buccaneers are just one game back of Washington in the overall standings and hold a head-to-head tiebreaker from their Week One win that could prove enormous. Now, remember, the Buccaneers will only be in the Wild Card conversation if they lose one of their last three games. That means they would need at least two losses by Washington to catch them, and we definitely don't want them to lose to Atlanta in Week 17. So, to be safe, we need Commanders losses to Philly this week and Dallas in the season finale.
Verdict: Go Iggles!
Minnesota Vikings (12-2) at Seattle Seahawks (8-6), Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET
Again, we don't care who wins the NFC West, just that they all lose as often as possible over the next three weeks. That head-to-head tiebreaker thing over Washington probably only works if the Buccaneers and Commanders are the only two teams tied for that third Wild Card spot. If it's a three or four-team tie there will be different tiebreakers put into play. Right now, the Seahawks are the only team just outside the last Wild Card spot that is 8-6 like the Buccaneers. Minnesota should be highly motivated by the fact that they have somewhat quietly gotten into realistic position to fight for the NFC North title and the number-one seed overall. Hopefully that propels them to a big win in the Pacific Northwest.
Verdict: Skol!
New England Patriots (3-11) at Buffalo Bills (11-3), Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-11) at Las Vegas Raiders (2-12), Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
Here's a couple more all-AFC games in the late afternoon. You can root for the Raiders since a win by them would help the Bucs' SOV and SOS numbers, but otherwise there is not much of importance here. I mean the game is very important to the Bills, who still have a shot at the AFC's number-one seed, but the impact these contests will have on the other three teams involved probably has a lot more to do with next year's draft order.
San Francisco 49ers (6-8) at Miami Dolphins (6-8), Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
The Athletic has the 49ers' playoff odds pegged at less than 1%, and the Bucs will almost certainly be out of the picture, too, if they end up in any kind of tiebreaker situation with San Francisco. So it's not particularly important, but as long as they are playing an AFC team we might as well root for their official elimination. Given how the seasons have gone for the likes of Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk, I would imagine there are some fantasy football players out there who are already eliminated from their playoffs and rooting against the players that tanked their seasons anyway.
Verdict: Go Dolphins!
New Orleans Saints (5-9) at Green Bay Packers (10-4), Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
We all held our noses and rooted for the Saints last week, and what did it get us? A big fat nothing, though the Saints were within a converted two-point try of beating the Commanders. I'm not going to ask you to do that, even though a Packers win doesn't do us any good. The thing is, it doesn't really do the Bucs any harm, either. If the Bucs don't win the division, their only shot will be at the third Wild Card spot, so it doesn't really matter if the Packers are in the second Wild Card spot with 10, 11, 12 or 13 wins. I'm thinking about the next three weeks as a whole, and noting that the Saints come to Tampa in Week 18 for a game that very well may be a must-win for the Buccaneers. We don't want to see the Saints look good in the weeks ahead, likely with rookie Spencer Rattler at the helm. We'd prefer a New Orleans team that is just ready for the season to end on its final weekend.
Verdict: Go Pack Go!
View images of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' matchups throughout the years vs. the Dallas Cowboys