Skip to main content
Advertising

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Presented by

Buccaneers-Falcons: Top Storylines & Key Matchups in Week Five

The Bucs begin a run of key divisional matchups with a Thursday night game in Atlanta, where they will run into a loaded offense now led by long-time standout QB Kirk Cousins

tskmwk5

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers bounced back in a big way in Week Four with a runaway 33-16 win over the Philadelphia Eagles at Raymond James Stadium. They weren't afforded much time to savor the win, however, as Week Five brings a trip to Atlanta for a Thursday night contest. At 3-1, the Buccaneers are now alone in first place in the NFC South, and some of the credit for that goes to their upcoming opponent. The Falcons came back in the final minute on Sunday to knock off the New Orleans Saints, 26-24, putting both teams at 2-2 after the first "quarter" of the season. Kickoff for the Bucs and Falcons is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Thursday, October 3.

While the Buccaneers already have two 17-point wins on the season and one 19-point loss, the Falcons have played a succession of close games that went down to the wire. They had a 10-9 second-half lead in the opener against Pittsburgh only to see Chris Boswell kick the final three of his six field goals on the day for an 18-10 Steelers win. The next week on Monday Night in Philadelphia, Kirk Cousins hit Drake London on a seven-yard touchdown pass with 34 seconds left for a 22-21 Falcons win. The Chiefs came to Atlanta in Week Three and escaped with a 22-17 victory when Atlanta's offense failed on two fourth downs in the red zone in the game's final three minutes. And finally, the Saints beat the Falcons at home, as noted above, when Younghoe Koo booted a 58-yard field goal with two seconds left.

As familiar as the Bucs are with the Falcons, there is a lot that is new about the 2024 team, starting at the top. Former Bucs Head Coach Raheem Morris is now at Atlanta's helm, and he brought Zac Robinson with him from the Rams to run a new-look offense in the wake of former Head Coach Arthur Smith's run-heavy teams. The Falcons also made two late additions to bolster their defense, trading for edge rusher Matthew Judon and signing former Pro Bowl safety Justin Simmons. And, of course, Kirk Cousins is now in town.

The Falcons have a shot to grab a share of the division lead with a win on Thursday while the Buccaneers will try to pull away from the pack. Here are four major storylines and four head-to-head player battles to keep an eye on as the Bucs play their first intradivision game of the season.

TOP STORYLINES

Bring on the South – The Buccaneers have already played two teams from the NFC East and one team from the other conference, but it isn't until Week Five that they get their first shot at another club in their own division. Atlanta is 1-0 in division play after their aforementioned win over the Saints, while New Orleans has already beaten Carolina and lost to the Falcons to go 1-1 in such games. Now, the Buccaneers are about to dive head first into the divisional pool, with three of their next four games against NFC South teams. That includes a home-and-away set with the Falcons in the span of a month, as the two teams will also meet at Raymond James Stadium in Week Eight. Tampa Bay has ruled the division in recent years, winning three straight division titles for the first time in franchise history, but the Falcons only finished two games back last year and one game back in 2022. Those tight end-of-season standings and the arrival of Cousins caused most national NFL analysts to install the Falcons as the favorites to win the South in 2024. So far, the Bucs haven't ceded that ground, rushing out to a quick start and the division lead, but the next month could end up settling the matter. A two-game sweep by other team would give them a clear leg up in the title race, especially since that team would be the owner of a very powerful head-to-head tiebreaker.

No Time to Waste – Both the Buccaneers and Falcons will be playing the game on a very short week of preparation, and the Bucs also have to figure in travel time. The teams obviously knew this Thursday night game was coming and have planned accordingly, but it's still a quick turnaround and it doesn't allow for much actual physical preparation. The Buccaneers intend to hold walk-throughs instead of full-speed practices on Monday through Wednesday, relying on mental reps to get the game plan installed. Perhaps the most difficult aspect of the short week is getting injured players in shape to suit up on Thursday night. The Buccaneers had 20 players on their injury report heading into Week Four and they sustained a few more (SirVocea Dennis, Trey Palmer) against the Eagles. The Buccaneers are hoping that key defenders Antoine Winfield Jr. and Calijah Kancey are on the verge of returning to action after missing three and four games, respectively, but whether or not they make it by Thursday night probably won't be known for several more days. The Falcons, of course, will be dealing with injuries of their own. Both teams will enjoy a "mini-bye" in the coming weekend after their game, but getting to that break won't be easy.

Falcons' Firepower – It's not hard to see why Cousins chose to sign with the Falcons after his six seasons in Minnesota, and it's not only because his wife grew up in Atlanta and the Cousins spent most offseasons there. There was also the matter of a loaded offensive cast that included a recent top-10 draft pick at every skill position: tight end Kyle Pitts, wide receiver Drake London and running back Bijan Robinson. After suffering a torn Achilles tendon in his last season in Minnesota, Cousins also surely liked the idea of playing behind a strong offensive line featuring Pro Bowlers Chris Lindstrom at right guard and Jake Matthews at left tackle. That offense hasn't completely taken off yet – the Falcons currently rank 20th in yards, 21st in points scored, 20th in passing yards and 18th in rushing yards – but the personnel suggests it has high-scoring potential. To keep that from happening this week, the Buccaneers will probably have to put the pressure on Cousins the same way they did to the Eagles' Jalen Hurts on Sunday. The Bucs sacked Hurts five times and generated their highest pressure rate (48.6%) in a game in almost three years. So far this season, the Falcons' offense has operated much better when it has been able to keep the heat off Cousins. Against New Orleans, for instance, the Falcons passer compiled 208 of his 238 passing yards on plays when the Saints didn't blitz. He averaged 8.7 yards per attempt on non-blitz plays and just 2.7 per attempt on the occasions he was blitzed.

Spreading It Around – The Buccaneers' offense signaled the type of afternoon it was going to have on Sunday when the ball went to five different players on the first five plays of the game, resulting in a total of 41 yards and two first downs. Baker Mayfield eventually completed passes to eight different plays on the way to 347 passing yards and six different players amassed more than 50 yards from scrimmage. The Bucs ended the game with a season-best 445 yards, and wideout Chris Godwin, the team's leading receiver, said it works best when the ball is being spread around like that. "I think it really makes it difficult for a defense," said Godwin. "It's one thing if one guy is going off because it's like, 'Alright, he's the hot hand, right?' But if we're able to spread the ball around that much, everybody gets involved. Then everyone's more involved in the run game. But also you can be so diverse with the play calls – your short, quick game, your deep passing game, play actions, screens. And then as the game progresses, you have so much more at your disposal than just the handful of plays that were working early on. So when a team makes adjustments, now you have answers for it." In the Eagles game, Mayfield demonstrated this concept by completing on a string of quick-hitters early and then eventually making some bigger plays downfield when the defense adjusted. Mayfield's average time to throw in the game as a whole was 2.22 seconds, his quickest such time yet this season.

View the top images of Tampa Bay's Week 4 victory against the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, September 29th, 2024 at Raymond James Stadium.

KEY MATCHUPS

  1. Falcons WR Darnell Mooney vs. Buccaneers CB Jamel Dean

The aforementioned first-round trio of London, Pitts and Robinson are the big names in Cousins' arsenal, but the new quarterback has paid a lot of attention to a fellow Falcons newcomer in Mooney through the first month of the season. Mooney is second on the team with 24 targets to London's 31, and the 225 yards he has on 15 receptions leads the offense. Mooney has a 1,000-yard season on his resume, having caught 81 passes for 1,055 yards for the Bears in 2021. At 5-11 and 177 pounds, Mooney isn't the biggest receiver, but he has big-play explosiveness and can pick up yards after the catch. The biggest chunk of his snaps so far have come with him lined up wide on the left side of the offense, which on Thursday night would bring him into the vicinity of Jamel Dean, who plays on that side of the defense. Dean had two pass breakups against the Eagles, including one on which he initially seemed to have made a diving interception. Dean was part of a Bucs secondary that only allowed Jalen Hurts to complete seven passes for 34 yards to his wideouts. Dean will have a size advantage over Mooney and he also has top-level speed to stick with him on deeper routes.

  1. Buccaneers G Ben Bredeson vs. Falcons DL Grady Jarrett

Bredeson, an offseason acquisition in free agency, has fit right into the Bucs' offensive line at left guard and helped the team get off to a good start in its new offensive scheme. Bredeson is big and tough, and he's also one of the headiest players on the field, and he looks to find extra work when he's not covered by a rusher. The former Giant brings a powerful push to the Bucs ground game, which ran the ball very effectively to the left side against the Eagles. Coming off a battle with the Eagles' superstar interior duo of Jalen Carter and Jordan Davis, Bredeson won't have time to rest in Week Five as the Falcons also possess a strong defensive front led by two-time Pro Bowler Grady Jarrett. Jarrett was having one of his best seasons in years in 2023 before he suffered a torn ACL near midseason. Through the eight games he played before his injury, Jarrett had generated a positive pass rush on 60.1% of his snaps, his best rate since 2018. The 6-0, 288-pound Jarrett has always played bigger than his size, and he still possesses a quick first step that allows him to get into gaps in the interior line and bring pressure on the quarterback straight up the middle. So far this season Jarrett is tied for the Falcons' team lead with 1.5 sacks and has a team-leading seven QB pressures, more than double any of his teammates.

  1. Falcons G Chris Lindstrom vs. Buccaneers DL Vita Vea

Lindstrom has been a Pro Bowler and a second-team Associated Press All-Pro in each of the last two seasons, so it's easy to see why the Falcons rewarded him with a five-year, $102 million contract extension in 2023, making him the NFL's highest-paid guard. A first-round pick in 2019, Lindstrom is both athletic and a technician – he was flagged for just one holding call over the first four seasons of his career – through he has drawn two more penalties this season. According to Pro Football Focus, he has allowed just one sack through four games. Lindstrom has excellent quickness and can move laterally with ease to set up blocks or pick up unblocked pass rushers. He'll surely have some battles with Vea on Thursday night. Vea returned to the Bucs' lineup against Philadelphia after missing one and a half games, and his effect was felt immediately. He had the first of the Bucs' six sacks on the afternoon, killing an early Eagles drive as the Bucs rushed out to a 24-0 lead. Vea got constant push up the middle and frequently occupied multiple blockers to help free up lanes for his fellow pass-rushers. Vea is a huge defender, but he can built up a head of steam quickly if he gets by his blocker, as he did when he buried Hurts for a 10-yard loss after bouncing off his blocker and accelerating into the quarterback's lap.

  1. Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin vs. Falcons CB Dee Alford

Godwin ranks third in the NFL in receptions (27) and seventh in receiving yards (322) and he has already scored three touchdowns, one more than he had all of last year. He has been an efficient and effective target for Mayfield, catching 79.4% of the passes thrown his way and posting a success rate of 70.6% (both of those figures would be the highest rate of his career if maintained). Godwin is second in the NFL with 21 first downs on receptions and tied for first with nine third-down receptions that produced first downs (out of 10 overall). Godwin has sure hands, runs precise routes, catches the ball in traffic and is innately skilled at picking up yards on screens and other quick-hitters. Alford, a former undrafted free agent, is playing his highest number of snaps in his three seasons in 2024, covering the slot and staying on the field for 59% of the team's defensive snaps so far. According to Pro Football Reference, Alford has been targeted 14 times this season and has allowed 13 completions, but those plays have been limited to 7.9 yards per completion. He has contributed 25 tackles and a sack to the Falcons' defensive effort. The 5-11, 177-pounder does give up a bit of size to Godwin but he's a feisty and competitive defender with a high football IQ.

Related Content

Latest Headlines

Advertising