The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won four games in a row since coming out of their Week 11 bye, highlighted by last Sunday's 40-17 thrashing of the then 8-5 Chargers in Los Angeles. The surge has put Tampa Bay in the driver's seat in the NFC South race, but not even close yet to the winner's circle. The Buccaneers' lead over Atlanta is just one game, and their margin of error is extremely slim because the Falcons got a head-to-head sweep earlier in the season and thus have a hammer of a tiebreaker in hand.
As such, the Bucs are still treating each game as a must-win, and depending upon what Atlanta does over the next three weeks – vs. the Giants, at Washington, vs. the Panthers – each one may be exactly that. The win in L.A. was enjoyed for 24 hours, then filed away so the Bucs could focus on their most important game: the next one. In this case, that's a Week 16 trip to Dallas to play a prime time game against a Cowboys team that has won three of its last four.
Tampa Bay needed its post-bye hot streak because of the same sort of midseason dip that put them behind the eight ball last season. That started with a Week Three loss to Denver after the Bucs had stormed out of the gate with a blowout win over Washington and a thrilling upset of the Lions in Detroit. The Broncos came to Tampa and controlled the game from start to finish, handing the Bucs what is still their worst loss of the season, 26-7. Quarterback Baker Mayfield says Head Coach Todd Bowles has reminded the team of that outcome.
View the top images of Tampa Bay's Week 15 game against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, December 15th, 2024 at SoFi Stadium.
"I think Coach hit on it," said Mayfield. "When we started fast early in the year, Denver came in and took it to us. So, it's one-game-at a-time mentality, and this is the next one. We've got to be focused on that."
The Buccaneers have experienced the same issue on a smaller scale, too, frequently starting out a specific game fast before a lull keeps them from pulling away from their opponent. This was on display in the first half of the Chargers blowout, even in a game in which the Bucs scored on eight of their 10 drives before a final possession that ran out the clock. As usual, the problems occurred in the second quarter, as two consecutive drives ended in turnovers and one set the Chargers up for a go-ahead touchdown.
Similar issues occurred in a Week Six win at New Orleans, both of their losses to Atlanta and an overtime nailbiter at Carolina in Week 13. Sometimes the Bucs have been able to right the ship and lock down the win – a 27-0 scoring edge in the second half last Sunday took care of that one – and sometimes they have not. Mayfield says the Bucs need to keep the pedal to the floor after a fast start.
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"We've done an exceptional job of starting fast," said Mayfield. "Now it's about not taking your foot off the gas and still being consistent. Why have we started fast? Guys are executing the plan. Whatever is being called, we're executing at a high level. It's just got to stay that way. There needs to be no drop-off. You have to hit the reset button. It goes back to good or bad, the next play is the most important one."
Indeed, the Buccaneers have outscored their opponents in the first quarter this season by a whopping 54-point margin. They also have a scoring edge of 66 points in the second half. The problem is a 34-point deficit in the second period. (The less we talk about the 12-3 scoring disadvantage in overtime, the better.)
The Buccaneers have scored touchdowns on their opening drive in seven games this season, which is tied with the Bills and Cardinals for the most in the league in 2024. They would obviously like to make that eight on Sunday night in Dallas, but perhaps more important will be how they respond on the possessions that follow.